Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
FT(HT: 0-0)
Keita (74'), Naby Juni Camara (90+6')
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: France 2-0 Guinea
A victory takes France into the competition's last eight, and the tournament hosts should have enough to secure a routine win against opponents expected to focus on frustrating and containing the more fancied home side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Guinea U23s had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Guinea U23s win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France Under-23s.
| Result |
| France Under-23s | Draw | Guinea U23s |
67.2% ( 4.06) | 20.73% ( -1.61) | 12.07% ( -2.45) |
| Both teams to score 41.41% ( -1.78) |
| 47.71% ( 1.25) | 52.29% ( -1.24) |
| 26.01% ( 1.07) | 73.99% ( -1.06) |
| 85.31% ( 1.75) | 14.69% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.13% ( 3.25) | 42.87% ( -3.25) |
| 48.54% ( -3.14) | 51.46% ( 3.15) |
