SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTA Arad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for U Craiova 1948 had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a UTA Arad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest U Craiova 1948 win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UTA Arad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| UTA Arad | Draw | U Craiova 1948 |
38.33% ( 0.08) | 26.55% ( 0) | 35.12% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.02) | 52.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.02) | 74.23% ( 0.02) |
| UTA Arad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( 0.03) | 26.72% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% ( 0.04) | 61.99% ( -0.04) |
| U Craiova 1948 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0.06) | 28.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -0.08) | 64.41% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| UTA Arad | Draw | U Craiova 1948 |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.12% |
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