Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTA Arad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for U Craiova 1948 had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a UTA Arad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest U Craiova 1948 win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UTA Arad would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.08) 
