Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (13.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
