Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39.03%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 29.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
