Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
