Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 47.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.
