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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
May 15, 2021 at 7pm UK
Nouveau Stade du Hameau

Pau
4 - 3
Valenciennes

Itaitinga (3'), Lobry (12'), George (16'), Assifuah (50')
Diarra (59'), Kouassi (71'), George (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Vandenabeele (56'), Dos Santos (62'), Z (84')
Pellenard (30'), Dos Santos (64'), Chergui (72')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Valenciennes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 47.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.

Result
PauDrawValenciennes
47.03%26.78%26.18%
Both teams to score 47.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3%56.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35%77.65%
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59%58.41%
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77%37.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98%74.01%
Score Analysis
    Pau 47.03%
    Valenciennes 26.18%
    Draw 26.78%
PauDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 47.03%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 26.18%

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