It should be a tight contest in Verona, where the hosts have proved far tougher to beat this season, so the points may ultimately be shared. Genoa are without their main striker, while Hellas have struggled to score for some time now - a goalless stalemate could result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.18) 
