SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 94.06%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Vic had a probability of 1.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.02%) and 0-2 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.18%), while for a Vic win it was 1-0 (0.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vic | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1.16% ( 0.05) | 4.78% ( 0.21) | 94.06% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 26.35% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.73% ( -0.87) | 24.27% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.04% ( -1.16) | 43.95% ( 1.17) |
| Vic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 27.05% ( -0.1) | 72.95% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 4.04% ( -0.03) | 95.96% ( 0.03) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.41% ( -0.14) | 2.59% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 87.95% ( -0.54) | 12.05% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vic | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| Other @ 1.16% Total : 1.16% | 1-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.71% Total : 4.78% | 0-3 @ 15.35% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 14.02% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 12.6% ( 0.34)0-5 @ 10.25% ( -0.2)0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.3)0-6 @ 6.24% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.42% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09)0-7 @ 3.26% ( -0.17)1-5 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)1-6 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)0-8 @ 1.49% ( -0.1)1-7 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.45% Total : 94.04% |
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