SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Madrid |
37.88% ( -0.13) | 25.59% ( -0.09) | 36.53% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( 0.43) | 48.34% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0.39) | 70.48% ( -0.39) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( 0.13) | 25.02% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% ( 0.17) | 59.68% ( -0.17) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0.32) | 25.76% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( 0.44) | 60.7% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.88% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.53% |
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