SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Kristiansund |
71.67% ( 0.03) | 15.59% ( 0.08) | 12.74% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.71) | 26.65% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.95% ( -0.9) | 47.04% ( 0.9) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.42% ( -0.16) | 6.57% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.53% ( -0.44) | 24.47% ( 0.44) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( -0.66) | 33.53% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% ( -0.73) | 70.16% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 6% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 3% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.75% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 4% Total : 71.67% | 1-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.59% | 1-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 12.74% |
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