SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | Jerv | 20 | -32 | 14 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 19 | -22 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Valerenga Fotball | 20 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Viking FK | 19 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Stromsgodset | 19 | 4 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Viking FK |
26.86% ( 0.51) | 23.15% ( 0.27) | 49.99% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.83) | 41.13% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.85) | 63.53% ( 0.85) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.06) | 28.4% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( -0.08) | 64.15% ( 0.08) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.58) | 16.62% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( -1.06) | 46.44% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Viking FK |
| 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.56% Total : 26.86% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.99% |
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