Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 48%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.