SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 3-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Lillestrom |
56.67% ( 0.14) | 20.26% ( 0.02) | 23.06% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 66.02% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.97% ( -0.32) | 31.03% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.38) | 52.42% ( 0.39) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.06) | 11.06% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.59% ( -0.14) | 35.41% ( 0.14) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( -0.31) | 25.77% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% ( -0.42) | 60.72% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.67% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 23.07% |
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