SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Lillestrom |
47.16% ( -0.03) | 23.08% ( -0.02) | 29.75% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.21% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.19% ( 0.14) | 38.8% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.89% ( 0.15) | 61.11% ( -0.15) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.04) | 16.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( 0.08) | 46.74% ( -0.08) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.11) | 25.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( 0.15) | 59.98% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.27% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.75% |
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