SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 44.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Neman in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Neman |
26.23% ( 0.16) | 28.89% ( -0.01) | 44.87% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.3% ( 0.11) | 63.7% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.03% ( 0.08) | 82.97% ( -0.08) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% ( 0.21) | 41.11% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.35% ( 0.18) | 77.65% ( -0.18) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.02) | 28.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% ( -0.02) | 64.18% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 26.22% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 14.69% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 44.87% |
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