SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
52% ( 0.08) | 25.34% ( -0.01) | 22.66% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.93% ( -0.03) | 54.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.5% ( -0.02) | 75.5% ( 0.02) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( 0.02) | 20.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% ( 0.03) | 53.47% ( -0.04) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( -0.08) | 38.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( -0.08) | 75.7% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 22.66% |
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