Off the back of three defeats in a row by a combined score of 6-1, Vitoria have it all to do here as they face off against the division's highest-scoring team. We are backing Flamengo to cruise to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
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