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National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 4
Truro City

McCarthy (75')
Rowan (48')
Rowan (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kabia (5'), Harvey (24', 50' pen., 58')
Sanders (29')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Chesham
Saturday, November 23 at 3.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawTruro City
36.75% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 26.49% (0.004999999999999 0) 36.75% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.58% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)52.27% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)73.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)27.49% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)62.98% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.49% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)62.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 36.75%
    Truro City 36.75%
    Draw 26.49%
WeymouthDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.75%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-1 Weymouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Chesham
Saturday, November 23 at 3.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South


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