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National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
1 - 2
Truro City

Walker (23')
Winfield (45'), Donkor (84'), Chukwu (90')
Winfield (51')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kabia (31'), Harrison (37')
Kabia (55'), En-Neyah (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 4-1 Welling United
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawTruro City
32.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.73% (0.0010000000000012 0) 41.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)49.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)28.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.012 -0.01)64.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 32.68%
    Truro City 41.59%
    Draw 25.72%
Welling UnitedDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 8.47%
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Eastbourne 4-1 Welling United
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-4 Chippenham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Enfield Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Truro City
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 3-0 Hampton
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South


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