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National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
2 - 1
Chesham

Kabia (73'), Harvey (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stevens (41')
Rolfe (66')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 2-0 Worthing
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawChesham United
37.1% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 27.37% (0.00099999999999767 0) 35.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.09% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 37.1%
    Chesham United 35.52%
    Draw 27.37%
Truro CityDrawChesham United
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.1%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.52%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Truro City
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 2-0 Worthing
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Enfield Town 2-3 Chesham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 3-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Chesham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup


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