SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
32.83% ( 0.08) | 26.03% ( 0) | 41.14% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% ( 0.01) | 50.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( 0.01) | 72.71% ( -0.01) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( 0.06) | 29.2% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( 0.07) | 65.14% ( -0.07) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0.04) | 24.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( -0.05) | 58.84% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.83% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.14% |
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