SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.64%) and 3-1 (6.56%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Luzern |
53.84% ( -0.65) | 20.91% ( 0.27) | 25.24% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 66.27% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.94) | 31.81% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.65% ( -1.11) | 53.35% ( 1.11) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( -0.49) | 12.09% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.36% ( -1.05) | 37.63% ( 1.05) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.24) | 24.61% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( -0.35) | 59.12% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.84% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.24% |
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