Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luzern | Draw | Servette |
36.2% ( 0.03) | 25.3% ( 0.06) | 38.5% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.66% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.94% ( -0.26) | 47.06% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.7% ( -0.24) | 69.3% ( 0.24) |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% ( -0.1) | 25.35% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.86% ( -0.14) | 60.14% ( 0.14) |
Servette Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.16) | 24.1% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( -0.23) | 58.39% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Luzern | Draw | Servette |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.5% |
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