SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Basel had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Basel |
48.45% ( 0.07) | 22.05% ( 0.01) | 29.5% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 65.87% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.07% ( -0.11) | 33.93% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.21% ( -0.12) | 55.79% ( 0.11) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% ( -0.02) | 14.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.49% ( -0.03) | 42.51% ( 0.03) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( -0.1) | 22.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% ( -0.15) | 56.74% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.5% |
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