Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Basel had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.

Result
Young Boys	Draw	Basel
48.45% ( 0.07)	22.05% ( 0.01)	29.5% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 65.87% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.07% (

-0.11)

33.93% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.21% (

-0.12)

55.79% (

0.11)

Young Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

-0.02)

14.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.49% (

-0.03)

42.51% (

0.03)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.04% (

-0.1)

22.96% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.26% (

-0.15)

56.74% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Young Boys 48.45%

Basel 29.5%

Draw 22.05%

Young Boys	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.51% Total : 48.45%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.5%