SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Luzern |
50.82% ( 0.19) | 21.27% ( -0) | 27.91% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 67.6% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.84% ( -0.14) | 31.16% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.16) | 52.58% ( 0.17) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( 0.01) | 12.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.99% ( 0.02) | 39.01% ( -0.02) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( -0.19) | 22.52% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.91% ( -0.28) | 56.09% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.91% |
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