After recording a solid win in the first leg, Zira will be confident of keeping the clean sheet at home required to book their spot in the next stage of the Europa League.
Sheriff will be desperate to avoid an embarrassing first-round exit given their recent European pedigree, but we feel that the Moldovans will endure a frustrating night in Azerbaijan.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Zira FK had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.76%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Zira FK win it was 1-0 (6.4%).