Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Prague win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.
Result | ||
Slavia Prague | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
45.28% ( -8.69) | 26.05% ( 2.34) | 28.67% ( 6.35) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( -1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.48% ( -4.56) | 52.51% ( 4.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.82% ( -4.05) | 74.18% ( 4.05) |
Slavia Prague Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.87% ( -5.45) | 23.13% ( 5.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.01% ( -8.68) | 56.99% ( 8.68) |
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% ( 2.89) | 32.98% ( -2.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.43% ( 3.09) | 69.56% ( -3.09) |
Score Analysis |
Slavia Prague | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.69) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -1.35) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -1.21) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -1.51) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.82) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.92) Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.27% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 1.12) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 1.29) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 1.96) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 1.1) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 1.36) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.57) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.6) Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.67% |
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