Goals are not a common sight in Slavia games, even domestically where they often dominate and scored 98 goals in the league last season, as 10 of their last 12 outings have seen two goals or fewer.
Therefore, while Slavia are the favourites to come out on top, a narrow margin of victory is likely.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Prague win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.
-8.69) 
2.34) 
