Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlas in this match.