Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.