Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 44.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.