Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juarez in this match.