SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Mazatlan |
55.59% ( -0.54) | 22.84% ( 0.09) | 21.57% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.18) | 45.06% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.17) | 67.41% ( -0.17) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( -0.12) | 16.06% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( -0.23) | 45.43% ( 0.23) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( 0.55) | 34.96% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% ( 0.57) | 71.7% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlas | Draw | Mazatlan |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.58% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.57% |
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