Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.