Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.