Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlas in this match.