Atlas
1 - 2
Toluca

Malcorra (28' pen.)
Zaldivar (12'), Acosta (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Canelo (22' pen.), Sambueza (55' pen.)
Garcia (27'), Canelo (37'), Medina (68'), Guemez (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Atlas	Draw	Toluca
36.51%	28%	35.49%

Both teams to score 47.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.75%

58.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11%

78.88%

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45%

30.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23%

66.77%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81%

31.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.48%

67.52%

Score Analysis

Atlas 36.5%

Toluca 35.49%

Draw 27.99%

Atlas	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.5%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3% Total : 35.49%