Mazatlan
2 - 1
Toluca

Aristeguieta (14', 29')
Ortiz (40')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Estrada (27')
Lopez (88'), Mora (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
28.6%	24.86%	46.54%

Both teams to score 55.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4%

47.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.2%

69.8%

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52%

30.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.3%

66.69%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49%

20.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.01%

52.99%

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 28.6%

Toluca 46.54%

Draw 24.85%

Mazatlan	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.6%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 4.92% 0-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.54%