Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.