Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.