Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club America in this match.