Toluca
3 - 1
America

Ortega (2', 61'), Samudio (39')
Baeza (22'), Rigonato Rodrigues (49'), Gonzalez (81'), Sambueza (90')
Baeza (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Martin (6')
Vinas (11'), Valdez (45+2'), Layun (65'), Caceres (80'), Madrigal (83'), Ochoa (84')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Club America
29.28%	26.14%	44.58%

Both teams to score 51.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43%

52.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78%

74.22%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45%

32.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.91%

69.08%

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52%

23.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49%

57.5%

Score Analysis

Toluca 29.28%

Club America 44.58%

Draw 26.14%

Toluca	Draw	Club America
1-0 @ 8.58% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.28%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.58%