Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.