Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Club America had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.