Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 13.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.