Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.