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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Sep 19, 2020 at 3.30am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
2 - 3
Cruz Azul

Sanvezzo (1'), Osuna (90+5' pen.)
Sansores (33'), Jara (49'), Ortiz (88'), Sanvezzo (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gimenez (15'), Rodriguez (50' pen., 78' pen.)
Aldrete (75')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 62.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawCruz Azul
16.28%20.93%62.79%
Both teams to score 51.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99%67.01%
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47%40.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87%77.13%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39%13.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.25%40.74%
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 16.28%
    Cruz Azul 62.77%
    Draw 20.93%
MazatlanDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 4.98%
2-1 @ 4.49%
2-0 @ 2.25%
3-1 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.28%
1-1 @ 9.93%
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.93%
0-1 @ 10.99%
0-2 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 6.59%
0-4 @ 3.64%
1-4 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.98%
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-5 @ 1.45%
1-5 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 62.77%


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