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Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Apr 11, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Azul

Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Rodriguez (50')
Fernandez (45'), Escobar (45'), de Jesus Corona (45+2'), Aldrete (86'), Aguilar (90+5')
Reyes (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Torres (38')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and CD Guadalajara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawCD Guadalajara
50.28%26.35%23.37%
Both teams to score 46.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85%57.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99%78.01%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18%22.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46%56.53%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98%40.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33%76.67%
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 50.27%
    CD Guadalajara 23.37%
    Draw 26.35%
Cruz AzulDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 23.37%

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