Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 66.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.