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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2020 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Akron

Guadalajara
0 - 2
Cruz Azul


Villalpando (64'), Sepulveda (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (40' pen., 90+3')
Yotun (23'), Escobar (42')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawCruz Azul
26.78%24.6%48.62%
Both teams to score 54.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31%47.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12%69.88%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1%31.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65%68.35%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34%19.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36%51.64%
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 26.78%
    Cruz Azul 48.62%
    Draw 24.6%
CD GuadalajaraDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 7.17%
2-1 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.09%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 26.78%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-2 @ 8.3%
1-3 @ 5.14%
0-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 48.62%


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